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J.M. Smucker Co. · Tenets
How SJM measures up against value, income, timing, and long-hold tenets. Every criterion shows the live number and the pass rule. Always free.
The tenets below and the 0-100 Tenet Score on this report are two separate computations: each tenet runs its own criteria and its own pass rule, while the score is a percentile composite reported as one of four verdict words (Strong, Solid, Mixed or Weak).
1 / 17 qualify todayas of 2026-10-02 · computed nightly from our fundamentals DB; point-in-time auditable.
QUALIFIES
1
meet every gate today
BORDERLINE
7
within one input of the gate
FAILS
8
miss at least one gate
UNKNOWN
1
insufficient data to judge
passesfailsborderlineunknown
Value — six classic philosophies
Buffett Qualitydurable moat
✕ FailsFailsROE ≥ 15%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)−2.5% · ≥ 15.0%
FailsGross margin ≥ 40%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)33.5% · ≥ 40.0%
FailsNet margin ≥ 15%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)−1.5% · ≥ 15.0%
FailsDebt/equity ≤ 0.5(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)1.28 · ≤ 0.50
FailsGrowing FCF (multi-yr)(fiscal 2021 to 2026)−1.7% per year · > 0
Decided by the pass rule for Buffett Quality.The pass rule for Buffett Quality is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here.Buffett Quality under The screens ›
Piotroski F-Scorefinancial strength
~ 6 / 9FailsReturn on assets positive(fiscal 2026)−7.0% · > 0
PassesOperating cash flow positive(fiscal 2026)$1.2B · > 0
FailsReturn on assets improving(fiscal 2026)3.7% → −7.0%
PassesEarnings backed by cash (CFO > net income)(fiscal 2026)$1.2B vs −$1.2B
FailsLeverage falling (long-term debt / assets)(fiscal 2026)33.4% → 40.1%
PassesCurrent ratio improving(fiscal 2026)0.52 → 0.81
PassesNo share dilution (≤ +2%)(fiscal 2026)+0.3%
PassesGross margin expanding(fiscal 2026)38.1% → 38.8%
PassesAsset turnover improving(fiscal 2026)0.40 → 0.50
Decided by the pass rule for Piotroski F-Score.The pass rule for Piotroski F-Score is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here. These checks score 6 of 9.Piotroski F-Score under The screens ›
Munger Compoundershigh-ROIC quality
✕ FailsFailsROIC ≥ 15%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)2.5% · ≥ 15.0%
FailsNet debt/EBITDA ≤ 3×(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)7.9× · ≤ 3.0×
FailsAltman Z ≥ 3 (safe zone)(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)1.26 · ≥ 3.00
Decided by the pass rule for Munger Compounders.The pass rule for Munger Compounders is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here.Munger Compounders under The screens ›
Magic FormulaROC + earnings yield (threshold check; full rank needs universe)
✕ FailsPassesEBIT > 0(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)$318.8M · > 0
FailsEarnings yield EBIT/EV ≥ 6%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)1.7% · ≥ 6.0%
FailsReturn on capital ≥ 25%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)12.9% · ≥ 25.0%
Decided by the pass rule for Magic Formula.The pass rule for Magic Formula is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page.About this screen ›
Graham Defensivemargin of safety
✕ FailsPassesSize: market cap ≥ $2B$12.4B · ≥ $2.0B
FailsCurrent ratio ≥ 2(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)0.78 · ≥ 2.00
FailsPositive EPS 10y7y
PassesPays a dividend$4.36 · > 0
Unknown — no dataEPS growth ≥ 3%/yr— · ≥ 3.0%
Unknown — no dataP/E ≤ 15— · ≤ 15.00
Unknown — no dataP/E × P/B ≤ 22.5— · ≤ 22.50
Decided by the pass rule for Graham Defensive.The pass rule for Graham Defensive is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here. 3 of 7 carry no data.Graham Defensive under The screens ›
Lynch GARPgrowth at reasonable price (historical-CAGR basis)
— UnknownUnknown — no dataPEG < 1 (hist. growth)— · < 1.00
Unknown — no dataEPS growth 10–30%— · 10.0%–30.0%
Verdict Unknown for this set.Verdict Unknown for this set. None of the 2 checks below carry data.Lynch GARP under The screens ›
Income — dividend safety
Income & Dividend Safetycoverage over headline yield
~ BorderlinePassesPays a dividend$4.36 · > 0
PassesYield in a healthy band (not a yield trap)3.8% · 1.0%–8.0%
PassesCovered by free cash flow2.49 · ≥ 1.20
Unknown — no dataEarnings payout not stretched−335.0% · ≤ 75.0%
FailsBalance sheet can sustain the payout7.9× · ≤ 4.0×
PassesAnnual dividend raised 10+ years running (Aristocrat ≥25, King ≥50)24.00 · ≥ 10.00
PassesNo dividend cut in the last 5 yearsNo cut on record
Fails5-year dividend growth ≥ 5%/yr4.1% · ≥ 5.0%
Decided by the pass rule for Income & Dividend Safety.The pass rule for Income & Dividend Safety is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page. 1 of 8 carry no data.
Dividend Growthraises you can count on
~ BorderlinePassesPays a dividend$4.36 · > 0
PassesAnnual dividend raised 10+ years running (Aristocrat ≥25, King ≥50)24.00 · ≥ 10.00
PassesNo dividend cut in the last 5 yearsNo cut on record
Fails5-year dividend growth ≥ 5%/yr4.1% · ≥ 5.0%
PassesCovered by free cash flow2.49 · ≥ 1.20
Unknown — no dataPayout not stretched— · ≤ 75.0%
Decided by the pass rule for Dividend Growth.The pass rule for Dividend Growth is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here. 1 of 6 carry no data.Dividend Growth under The screens ›
Long Hold — quality compounders
Quality Compounderhigh returns, reinvested, few new shares
✕ FailsFailsReturn on invested capital ≥ 15% in 4+ of the last 5 years0 of 4 on file
FailsRevenue compounding ≥ 8%/yr over 5 years2.5% per year · ≥ 8.0%
PassesNot diluting: diluted share count flat-to-down (≤ +1%/yr)−1.1% · ≤ 1.0%
PassesFree cash flow margin ≥ 12%12.8% · ≥ 12.0%
Not scored: see the reason belowEarnings backed by cash (operating cash flow ≥ net income)A loss year makes cash-vs-earnings unreadable: the ratio inverts over negative net income, so it is not scored (never counted against).— · ≥ 1.00
Reading: holds. Not a gate checkDisciplined buybacks: actively reducing the share count (bonus)reading, not a gate check−1.1%
Decided by the pass rule for Quality Compounder.The pass rule for Quality Compounder is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here. 1 of 5 carry no data. Lines marked as readings are published beside the checks and are not gate checks.Quality Compounder under The screens ›
Timing — dip & swing receipts
Drawdown Contexta dip, not a collapse
~ BorderlinePassesOff its 52-week high by 8–35% (a dip, not a collapse)14.7% · 8.0%–35.0%
FailsDip within its own normal pullback band0.13
PassesNot past where its dips have historically recovered from1.09
PassesA dip in an uptrend (above a rising 200-day)108.55
FailsHigher-low structure still intactstructure broken · higher low
PassesClear of the earnings blackout (more than 5 days out)57.00 · > 5.00
Decided by the pass rule for Drawdown Context.The pass rule for Drawdown Context is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page.
Reversal Evidencedaily close onlysigns the pullback is turning
✕ FailsUnknown — no dataA bullish MACD cross within 10 sessions— · ≤ 10.00
FailsReclaimed a rising 50-day EMA120.72
PassesPrinted a higher lowyes
FailsA volume thrust on the turn (≥ 1.2× normal)0.95 · ≥ 1.20
FailsReversal signals fired: 3 of 4 (MACD·MA·HL·Vol)1.00 · ≥ 3.00
Decided by the pass rule for Reversal Evidence.The pass rule for Reversal Evidence is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page. 1 of 5 carry no data.
Not-a-Value-Trap Gatecheap for a good reason, not a broken one
~ BorderlineFailsIn the cheap half of its own 5-year valuation range(through fiscal 2026)1.0×
PassesEarnings estimates not being cut0.08
PassesReturns on capital not deteriorating0.03
Decided by the pass rule for Not-a-Value-Trap Gate.The pass rule for Not-a-Value-Trap Gate is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page.
Quality Floorpasses the quality/value gate on this dip
✕ FailsPassesOperating profit is positive(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)$318.8M · > 0
FailsReturn on invested capital ≥ 10%(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)2.5% · ≥ 10.0%
FailsA solvent balance sheet (Altman Z ≥ 1.8, net debt/EBITDA ≤ 4)(fiscal 2026: a quarter is missing from the last four)1.3×
FailsQuality score ≥ 5030.90 · ≥ 50.00
PassesRevenue growing over 5 years(fiscal 2021 to 2026)2.5% per year · > 0
Decided by the pass rule for Quality Floor.The pass rule for Quality Floor is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page.
Qualified Dipa pullback with receipts, not a falling knife
~ BorderlineA research signal from published criteria, not a recommendation.
FailsDrawdown context14.7% off its 52-week high
FailsReversal evidence1 of 4 signals fired
FailsTrap gate2 of 3 held
FailsQuality floor2 of 5 held
Invalidation level (structure break): below this the dip's structure has broken$117.34
Decided by the pass rule for Qualified Dip.The pass rule for Qualified Dip is what decides that verdict, and it is not restated here.Qualified Dip under The screens ›
Trend Alignmentprice in a confirmed uptrend
~ BorderlineFailsTrading above its 50-day average122.48
PassesTrading above its 200-day average108.55
Passes50-day average above the 200-day (uptrend stack)122.48
Passes50-day average sloping up0.03 · > 0
Decided by the pass rule for Trend Alignment.The pass rule for Trend Alignment is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page.
Relative Strengthoutperforming, ranked vs the universe
✓ QualifiesPasses3-month return in the top half of the universe0.65 · ≥ 0.50
Passes12-minus-1 momentum in the top half of the universe0.63 · ≥ 0.50
PassesRelative strength vs the S&P 500 improving0.00 · > 0
PassesEarnings estimates being revised up0.08
Decided by the pass rule for Relative Strength.The pass rule for Relative Strength is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page.
Momentum Triggera trigger you can see
✕ FailsFailsMACD above its signal line−1.21
Not scored: see the reason belowBack above the 50-day on a fresh cross (≤10 sessions)This is a two-part reading (price back above the 50-day, and a bullish momentum cross inside 10 sessions) and a dated momentum cross is not on record for this name yet, so it is left unscored rather than counted either way.—
PassesHigher high and higher low (stair-stepping up)higher high · higher low
FailsA volume thrust on the move (≥ 1.2× normal)0.95 · ≥ 1.20
Decided by the pass rule for Momentum Trigger.The pass rule for Momentum Trigger is what decides that verdict, and it is not published separately on the methodology page. 1 of 4 carry no data.
Volatility Regimecontext, not a signal
Context, not scoredAverage daily swing: normal0.03
Volatility band width: mid-range0.26
Distance from its 52-week high: a modest pullback0.15
✓
Every verdict is auditableEach criterion shows the live number and the pass rule side by side — a receipt, not a rating. Several of these screens publish their rule in full under The screens; each row links to its own section where there is one.
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Unknown ≠ failAn “— Unknown” verdict means the inputs were insufficient: context, not a signal, and never counted as a fail.
Computed from our fundamentals DB; historical-CAGR PEG basis for Lynch. Research, not investment advice. Tenet's rulesets are independently developed from publicly available sources, and Tenet is not affiliated with, sponsored by, endorsed by or otherwise associated with any referenced investor or trademark owner. Full notice. MAGIC FORMULA is a trademark of MagicFormulaInvesting.com LLC.